Sadly I will not be taking the second half of the course. I've quite enjoyed the first half!
Situation: In order to stem the tide of Arab nationalism in
the 1960s and the Iranian revolution in the 70s, the Saudi Arabian government
began to export its conservative and intolerant version of Islam, Salafism, to
the rest of the Muslim world. This took the form of scholarships for Muslim
youth to come study in Saudi Arabia, funding for mosques and Islamic schools,
and the distribution of Saudi textbooks, which taught their fundamentalist and
intolerant version of Islam. This began to really affect Indonesia in the 1990s,
when the first Salafi pesantrens (Islamic boarding schools) were built in the
country. This was a noticeable development in a country known for its moderate
Islam and history of religious pluralism and relative tolerance. As of 2010,
the number of Salafi pesantrens was estimated to be 50, a small percentage of
the almost 50,000 pesantrens in Indonesia, but what is worrisome is the ability
of these Salafi pesantrens to attract large numbers of students. There seem to
be many more today than there were in 2010, as I was able to identify around 40
in Java alone in 2017. Most of the founders of these schools were educated in
Yemen or Saudi Arabia and many of the schools themselves are part of networks
that are funded by foundations based in various Gulf countries, including Saudi
Arabia.
The issue of greatest concern in
this area to the U.S. government at the moment is the widespread distribution
of Saudi textbooks. In 2012, the organization that I interned for over this
past summer, The International Center for Religion and Diplomacy (ICRD)
completed an audit of Saudi textbook content and gave it to the State
Department to be used as a tool to quietly pressure the Saudi government to reform,
and remove references of people of other religions as “cockroaches,” just to
give an example. The Saudi government claims to have revised the textbooks,
which is being currently assessed by my organization, but many of the old
textbooks remain in circulation in countries where they were exported over the
years. During the totality of this campaign, the Religious Attaché of the Saudi
Embassy in Jakarta has played a significant role in the dissemination of these
textbooks, even paying certain preachers to promote the books and other Saudi
teachings. Not only have some Salafi schools adopted Saudi textbooks, but some
have also adopted Saudi educational curriculums in favor of or in addition to
the Indonesian national curriculum.
The goal of the project I started
working on this summer for ICRD was to determine if Salafi schools with Saudi
textbooks expressed more intolerant views (that could potentially lead to
violence, as Saudi Arabia is believed to be one of the top “exporters” of
terrorism) as opposed to Salafi schools without the Saudi textbooks. The study
has not been done yet so I do not have these results and also cannot
definitively prove whether or not some of the schools I identified as
potentially having Saudi textbooks actually have them or not. An additional
hurdle is the difficulty of obtaining a full data set of all Salafi pesantrens
in Indonesia that have or do not have Saudi textbooks without going in and
doing extensive on-the-ground research. I limited my list of data points to the
island of Java and still probably do not have a complete list of Salafi pesantrens,
let alone information on all of their textbook materials. However, if ICRD is
able to finish the work I started and develop a list of 50 or so Salafi
pesantrens and is able to determine for sure that some did have Saudi textbooks
and other connections while others did not, then I would have enough data to do
an effective social network analysis.
Research Question(s): I personally believe that the
pernicious influence of Saudi Arabia in Indonesia extends beyond the textbooks.
I want to look at the broader issue of teacher training, and all possible
connections to Saudi Arabia. While other Gulf countries are involved in
financing pesantrens, I focus on Saudi Arabia for the sake of simplicity, its depth
of penetration into the country, its popularity among Salafis as a place to
study because it is the homeland of Mecca and Medina, and because it is of
particular interest to the United States government as an exporter of terrorism.
Thus, my research questions are as follows: Does the presence of Saudi textbooks,
curriculums, funding, or teacher training correlate with jihadi activity in schools?
Are Saudi-heavy schools more connected to one another than schools with less
Saudi influence? Is there one factor in particular, just as where the teachers
were trained that seems to connect schools better than others and/or produce
the most jihadi students? Does the number of Saudi connections (curriculum,
plus books, plus teachers trained in Medina) affect the number of jihadi students coming out of a pesantren?
Hypothesis: Schools with Saudi connections will be better
connected than those without Saudi links. I don’t think the Jihadi results
would be quite as correlated, because funding also comes from many other
countries, and because there are many other factors that influence
radicalization, but I think that I would find at least some sort of connection.
Data Collection: I already have data on about 40 pesantrens
in Java based off the few reports that have been written on the subject, but as
mentioned above, I would need to make sure that my data set contained Salafi
schools with different amounts of Saudi ties, and preferably some without any
Saudi ties, if any such schools exist, which would take extensive on-the-ground
research and conversations with the few scholars who specialize in Salafism in
Indonesia to confirm. Each of the schools identified would then need to be visited by
Indonesian research assistants to assess the presence of Saudi textbooks and to
get curriculum and funding details, unless information received from scholars
was very up to date. The problem with a lot of the data that I have is that
some of it dates back to 2004.
Basic one mode network-
Salafi pesantren connected to Salafi pesantren in Indonesia,
with connection established by teacher education (studied at the same school in
Medina, for example), teacher connection to disciple who opened another school
or a network of schools.
Attributes-
School has proven Saudi textbooks
School has proven Saudi curriculum (valued) 0 = no 1=partially 3= yes
School has proven Saudi curriculum (valued) 0 = no 1=partially 3= yes
School has proven teachers educated in Saudi Arabia
School has proven financial ties to Saudi Arabia
School has known jihadis students/connections
Methodology:
Looking at degree centrality (undirected) would tell me
which pesantrens were the best connected to others. I would then look at the
characteristics of these high degree nodes and nodes that scored highly on other centrality measures.
I would also create new files for each attribute and
determine the level of homophily. Are pesantrens with Saudi textbooks or
funding better connected than pesantrens with different attributes or no Saudi
connections at all?
Are pesantrens that share certain attributes such as
Saudi-trained teachers highly connected to nodes with any other particular
attribute such as Jihadi connections and students?
Are there any identifiable factions? Cliques? What are their
characteristics?
I would also look for nodes with many Saudi connections/attributes
(i.e. presence of textbooks, curriculum, funding and teacher training). What
are their characteristics? Do they score high on centrality measures? Are they
in the middle of the network? Do these pesantrens also have jihadi students?
Conclusion and Application:
A network analysis would be an extremely helpful deliverable
to give to the State Department to show further connections beyond the
textbooks, and potential future variables to study on-the-ground. It could also help identify
the pesantrens that seem to be the best connected within the network, either with
high degree centrality or high betweenness scores, or a combination of the two.
Using supplemental data received from ICRD’s on-the-ground research (assuming
it eventually takes place), it could be determined whether or not these
particular pesantrens are particularly intolerant and thus potentially prone to
violence. This might lead to an initiative to shut down the school, thus
weakening connections between the other nodes, and hopefully weakening the
network overall.
Sources:
https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-east-asia/indonesia/indonesia-backgrounder-why-salafism-and-terrorism-mostly-dont-mix
http://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/23750964.pdf?refreqid=excelsior:4f2fc214e1a30cefbdb61714db1f4690&seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents
http://www.cnn.com/2014/03/25/world/meast/obama-saudi-texbooks/index.html
https://aseas.univie.ac.at/index.php/aseas/article/viewFile/248/142
http://www.academia.edu/30300862/Din_Wahid_-_Nurturing_Salafi_manhaj_A_study_of_Salafi_pesantren_in_contemporary_Indonesia
1 comment:
We've discussed this, and you know that I find it interesting and worthwhile pursuing, if not in D217 in some other way. You've done a nice job of laying it all out, and you've included a robust set of net measures, nicely described. I would be happy to help you take this further if the occasion presents itself.
I enjoyed having you in class. You kept me on my toes!
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