Thursday, October 24, 2013

Proposed SNA (still a work in progress)- Can trade flows help determine the level of happiness/ innovation in a country?

Goal of the research
To identify quantitative and qualitative differences in trade flows of countries in the dataset and determine whether they are a predictor of where a country would lie on the happiness/ innovation scale.

Dataset
Innovative countries (list below)
Happy Countries (list below)
Their top 5 trading partners


Innovative Countries
Bloomberg Innovation Index

Happy Countries
UN World Happiness Report 


1
US
Denmark
2
South Korea
Norway
3
Germany
Switzerland
4
Finland
Netherlands
5
Sweden
Sweden
6
Japan
Canada
7
Singapore
Finland
8
Austria
Austria
9
Denmark
Iceland
10
France
Australia

Data
BACI-CEPII database which contains international trade data on 178 countries and 5,000 products.

Methodology
- Determine Eigenvector centralities for countries in the dataset based on their influence on world trade.
- Visualize the binary network and present some general characteristics
- Visualize the weighted network and determine in-degree and out-degree, eigenvector and closeness centralities for each node.
- Use the BACI-CEPII database to determine the composition of imports/ exports of each country and create attributes for each country based on the level of sophistication- basic/ intermediate/ hi value add. Visualize the network by using these attributes.


Limitations
- The small size of the dataset might limit the predictive value of the analysis.
- Other exogenous factors that influence a country’s level of innovation/ happiness have not been considered in this analysis.

1 comment:

Christopher Tunnard said...

I admire your determination, and I'm sure you'll find a network in here somewhere! I understand that it's going to be a trade network where the edge weights (or values) will be the amount of in/out trade. Beyond that, some creativity will be required, but I'm sure you're up to it. Why don't you email Kirk Bansak and ask his advice? He struggled with this with arms networks last year, and he's a very smart guy. I don't have a current email address, but he's doing a PhD at Stanford. This is a networked class, after all...