Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Sources of Information for the Coptic Population in Monterey, California: Is there a common theme?

David Ogura (I will not be taking the second module)

Sources of Information for the Coptic Population in Monterey, California: Is there a common theme?

Background:
In what was considered to be one of the crowning achievements of the Arab Spring, Hosni Mubarak was forced from the Egyptian presidency by popular protest in 2011.  Many, however, have since rejected the idea that the upheaval of 2011 was somehow a step forward in terms of democracy.  The Egyptian military initially allowed a transition to democracy.  In 2012 the Muslim Brotherhood came to power, and Muhammad Morsi was elected president.  After just a year, he was deposed by the Egyptian military in a coup that was supported by popular protests that again filled the streets of Egypt’s major cities.  Last summer, Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, the former head of the military, was “elected” president.   

One group that is generally thought to hold this opinion is Egyptian Copts.  Copts make up roughly 10 percent of the population in Egypt.  It is estimated that as many as 450,000 Coptic Egyptians have immigrated to the United States.  The Copts were a well-established immigrant population in the Untied States before the upheaval began, but it is estimated that up to 100,000 additional Copts traveled to the United States between the fall of Mubarak in 2011 and the end of 2013.  Among many large Coptic populations in the United States (New York, New Jersey, Southern California), there is a small community of Copts that live in Monterey, in the central part of California. 

This community of Copts in Monterey will be the focus of my social network analysis project.  Many of these Copts work as Arabic teachers at the Defense Language Institute (DLI), a military institution.  It is at DLI, during my 16 months studying Arabic, where I interacted daily with several members of this Coptic community.  During the summer of 2013, I witnessed their real-time responses, while still in California, to the coup that occurred in Egypt, which resulted in the removal of Mohammad Morsi from the presidency.  This experience is the impetus for my SNA project.

Primary Questions:
1.     Does the Coptic population of Monterey, California constitute a cohesive network that is homogenous in thought, in terms of events that occur in Egypt?  Does this network have leaders that drive opinions, or do they take their cues from other sources of information?
2.     How does this network stay informed about events in Egypt?

Hypothesis:
My hypothesis is that the network is generally homogeneous in terms of political policy and thought, when it comes to events that effect Copts in Egypt.  Through informal observation, I have not observed any serious divergence among the Coptic community in Monterey in this regard.

I theorize that there are three main information sources utilized by the Coptic population in Monterey in order to maintain awareness of Egyptian political developments.  First, there are various Coptic and Egyptian oriented websites, and blogs.  These websites are also probably popular among Copts located in Egypt.  Second, the Copts in Monterey frequently receive updates from their relatives and friends still residing in Egypt.  Third, they use Social Media, primarily Facebook.  (I personally witnessed some of my teachers utilizing all three of these methods to gather information.)

Data Collection and Analysis Goals:
I will collect this data set through a survey, via Survey Monkey.  According to the Association of Religious Data Archives, there are approximately 250 full-time adherents that attend the Coptic Orthodox Church in Monterey.  I suspect that the number of actual Copts in the local area is significantly higher than this figure.  I have a few close contacts within this community, but I expect a degree of reluctance to complete the survey among some members of the Copt population.

The first portion of the survey will determine the strength of connections among the Copts in Monterey, and how these connections correspond to specific attributes.  The goal is to capture data that represents a single-mode network where centrality measures and data analysis can be applied.  Important attributes from the survey will include: age groups, education levels, amount of time living in the United States, career field, whether or not they still have family living in Egypt, hometown in Egypt, frequency of return visits to Egypt, and a self-measurement of political involvement or political awareness of events in Egypt.  In addition, I will determine levels of support for certain political positions that someone could take about events in Egypt.

The second portion of the survey will focus on sources of information about events in Egypt.  I will query the top three sources of information for each respondent and how often they access each source-type.  This information will yield a two-mode network that I will transform into two single-mode networks.  First, I will be able analyze the network of information sources linked by the Copts in Monterey.  I have multiple objectives for the analysis of this network.  I want to know what sources of information are the most popular.  Are these sources also popular among non-immigrant populations in the United States?  Are these sources popular in Egypt?  How often do they utilize American or Western sources of information?

The second single-mode network will be Copts in Monterey linked by information sources.  I want to know whether or not this network corresponds to my initial single-mode network, and whether the most important members of the group are also linked by particular sources of information.

Network Measures:
I have a strong interest in comparing high Eigenvector and Betweenness scores in order to determine the leaders of the groups.  Then I want to break the groups down in factions to see if they correspond to any divergence in political positions among the community.  Lastly, I want to perform an analysis of high-low / in-degree and out-degree ties to find out which members of the community are sources and broadcasters of information.  The results of this analysis can also be compared to the survey data on sources of information.  The goal here would be to determine if particular members are pushing sources of information on to other members.

Conclusion:
During my personal and professional interactions with members of the Copt community Monterey, I was struck by what I perceived as the uniformity in their opinions about the tumultuous events in Egypt.  Much of this perceived uniformity is surely the result of their shared circumstances and experiences.  However, separate from this assertion, I want to determine if there is a link between their opinions and a) the network of Copts in Monterey and, b) their sources of information.  I want to eventually use this SNA as part of a larger study on how diaspora populations stay connected, socially and politically, to their home countries.

2 comments:

Peter said...

Nice post. You have a well-developed research question and the post shows you understand how SNA would be relevant to potentially uncovering unforeseen leaders in the Monterey Coptic population. Moreover, you have scratched the surface of the idea that there may be surprising means by which that population gathers its information. Nice attribute data and network measures as well.

Christopher Tunnard said...

Would love to see this done. Let me know if you every decide to do it.